Yankees vs. Red Sox Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - September 14

Thursday's contest between the Boston Red Sox (74-72) and the New York Yankees (73-73) at Fenway Park has a projected final score of 5-4 based on our computer prediction, with the Red Sox securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:15 PM on September 14.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Yankees will send Clarke Schmidt (9-8) to the mound, while Nick Robertson (0-1) will answer the bell for the Red Sox.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 14, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: FOX
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Score Prediction

Our pick for this game is Red Sox 5, Yankees 4.

Total Prediction for Yankees vs. Red Sox

• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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Yankees Performance Insights

• The Yankees have played as the favorite in six of their past 10 games and have won three of those contests.
• In its last 10 games with a total, New York and its opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Yankees have not played a game with a spread over their last 10 outings.
• The Yankees have won 45, or 54.2%, of the 83 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season New York has won 45 of its 83 games, or 54.2%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
• New York ranks 24th in the majors with 609 total runs scored this season.
• The Yankees' 3.98 team ERA ranks 10th among all league pitching staffs.

Red Sox Performance Insights

• The Red Sox have played as the underdog in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
• When it comes to the total, Boston and its foes are 5-4-1 in its previous 10 contests.
• The Red Sox's previous 10 matchups have not had a spread set by bookmakers.
• The Red Sox have won in 37, or 50.7%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Boston has won 30 of 62 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Boston is the eighth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 5.0 runs per game (726 total).
• Red Sox pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.56 ERA this year, which ranks 21st in MLB.

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Yankees Schedule

Red Sox Schedule