As we continue towards Christmas, indications are the weather will start to deteriorate across the region.
Sunday has featured mostly cloudy skies, and just a few small showers. We are expecting the coverage of rain to increase late Sunday and into early Monday morning. At this point, a few storms are possible early Monday, but widespread severe weather is not expected.
We should get a short break in the wet weather for Monday afternoon.
The big weather story will be on Christmas Day. A low pressure system will develop over Texas and Louisiana, and swing a strong weather system through the Pine Belt Christmas Day.
Starting during the late morning hours on Christmas Day, a warm front will push into the Pine Belt from the south. This will bring widespread heavy rainfall to the Pine Belt, and our first opportunity at seeing severe weather.
This severe weather threat will linger through the morning and into the afternoon, before a strong cold front pushes through during the evening hours of Christmas.
The ingredients are coming together for a potential significant severe weather outbreak. The Storm Prediction Center has the entire Pine Belt under a slight risk of severe weather, and this will likely get upgraded to a moderate risk.
At this point, damaging winds, large hail, frequent lightning, and the risk of tornadoes will be the greatest threat. Some of the tornadoes could be on the stronger side as well.
We are still a couple of days out, and there are still some details to be worked out. At this point, everybody needs to closely monitor the situation and stay up-to-date on the latest weather information.